How can attribute deaths to Global Warming already?
Friday, October 31st, 2008
We are hearing numbers of 150K dying every year because of global warming? How is that number reached? Since individual weather phenomena are not to be confused with climate, then how can the deaths these phenomena cause be attributed to global warming?
Are these only heat-related deaths, or does that include other extreme conditions?
Is this based on IPCC findings/models that do NOT show a correlation of daytime highs to AGW?
Is this net or gross? How many lives are spared by cooler or wetter weather?
Byderule - since you have blocked me from answering or even viewing your questions, I think it only fair that you not participate in mine.
And Bob, I think I’ll create a separate AR4 question to adequately address your points. Thanks for bringing it up, though.
Thanks, Trevor, for at least attempting to provide a quantitative view, but it’s going to be a little tough without seeing the actual study.
It still seems speculative, The one quantitative example cited, the SE Asia dengue outbreak was tied to weather, NOT climate - unless a study shows conclusively that this area’s weather phenomena correlate to global warming.
One paradox at work that might be masked is that while modernization decreases infant/maternal mortality rates and increases life span, it also increases the rate of disease as well as the death rate. Anybody who doesn’t understand this paradox, we can discuss it in another question, later…I have to rush to the ER…
Zoe